Current and future geographic patterns of bird diversity dimensions of the Yucatan Peninsula and their representativeness in natural protected areas

The deviation of expected relationships between taxonomic (TD), phylogenetic (PD), and functional (FD) diversity may inform about some processes (speciation, extinction, competition, migration) responsible for current biodiversity patterns. We studied the relationship different dimensions bird (TD, PD, FD) Yucatan Peninsula (YP) in a context future climate change. used ecological niche models to predict potential distribution 257 species YP estimate their TD, FD. calculated standardized effect size PD (SES.PD) FD (SES.FD) provide an estimation diversity, independent from richness. Finally, we evaluated effectiveness system PAs comparing observed values each PA versus what is null model. found positive correlation negative TD scenarios. that none protect more birds than by Our results suggest macroevolutionary have played important role composition avian assemblages. assessment suggests need adopt integrative approach conservation YP.